Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Yifang win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Yifang win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.36%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.