Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Hebei had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Hebei win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.