With four points already the difference in the table, Meizhou will fancy their chances of continuing their solid start to the campaign. However, Chengdu appear to be heading in the right direction, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw on Monday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.92) 
-0.52) 
