Spirits are high within both camps heading into Friday's fixture, but the visitors will be considered as the favourites to come away with all three points.
Meizhou are yet to keep a clean sheet this season and they may struggle to keep out Beijing Guoan, who should have enough quality in the final third to edge out their opponents in Guangdong.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
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