Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic win was 1-0 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
