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Chinese Super League
Apr 21, 2021 at 1pm UK
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
SF

Henan Jianye
1 - 2
Shenzhen

Buya Turay (31')
Han (48'), Yan (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Acheampong (21'), Kardec (54')
Wakaso (83')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Henan and Shenzhen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Henan Jianye win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.

Result
HenanDrawShenzhen
32.6%27%40.4%
Both teams to score 50.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.18%54.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.88%76.12%
Henan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64%31.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28%67.72%
Shenzhen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37%26.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14%61.86%
Score Analysis
    Henan 32.6%
    Shenzhen 40.39%
    Draw 27%
HenanDrawShenzhen
1-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 1.9%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.6%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 11.04%
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-2 @ 7.31%
1-3 @ 3.74%
0-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.39%

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