Henan Jianye
3 - 2
Guangzhou R&F

Bassogog (41' pen.), Luo (76'), Karanga (90+2')
Karanga (15'), Luo (34'), Cao (80'), Niu (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ye (12'), Tosic (68')
Teng (40'), Tosic (45+4'), Tixiang (90+4')
Teng (63'), Tosic (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Ninth-12th Place Playoff clash between Henan and Guangzhou City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou R&F win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou R&F win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Henan Jianye win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Henan	Draw	Guangzhou City
36.31%	27.14%	36.55%

Both teams to score 50.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.05%

54.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.77%

76.22%

Henan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.96%

29.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.05%

64.95%

Guangzhou City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1%

28.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.23%

64.77%

Score Analysis

Henan 36.3%

Guangzhou City 36.54%

Draw 27.14%

Henan	Draw	Guangzhou City
1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.3%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.39% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.14%	0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 8% 0-2 @ 6.47% 1-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.54%