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Chinese Super League playoffs | Ninth-12th Place Playoff
Oct 27, 2020 at 7.30am UK
Dalian University Stadium
H

Guangzhou R&F
1 - 2
Henan Jianye

Mierzejewski (30')
Gong (23')
Gong (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Boxuan (33'), Wang (70')
Dourado (60'), Boxuan (84')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Ninth-12th Place Playoff clash between Guangzhou City and Henan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou R&F win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou R&F win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Henan Jianye win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Guangzhou CityDrawHenan
38.98%26.31%34.71%
Both teams to score 53.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.38%51.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.59%73.41%
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08%25.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08%60.92%
Henan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6%28.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.85%64.15%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou City 38.98%
    Henan 34.71%
    Draw 26.31%
Guangzhou CityDrawHenan
1-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 38.98%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.36%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.27%
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-2 @ 5.83%
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 34.71%


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