SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 67.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 12.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.58%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
12.09% ( -0.05) | 20.23% ( -0.11) | 67.67% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 42.87% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.7% ( 0.32) | 50.3% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.75% ( 0.28) | 72.25% ( -0.28) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.8% ( 0.11) | 50.2% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.2% ( 0.07) | 84.79% ( -0.07) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.09% ( 0.15) | 13.91% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.65% ( 0.3) | 41.34% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.27% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 12.09% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 20.23% | 0-1 @ 13.77% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 13.58% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 8.93% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 4.41% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 67.67% |
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