SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shandong Taishan | 10 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 10 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 10 | -11 | 6 |
| 13 | Hebei | 10 | -17 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Guangzhou |
44.68% ( -0.88) | 26.48% ( 0.3) | 28.84% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 50.32% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.88% ( -0.89) | 54.12% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.46% ( -0.75) | 75.54% ( 0.75) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( -0.81) | 24.11% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.59% ( -1.16) | 58.41% ( 1.16) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.31% ( -0.03) | 33.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.65% ( -0.03) | 70.35% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Guangzhou |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.63% Total : 44.67% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.84% |
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