SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
31.57% ( -1.7) | 25.1% ( -0.16) | 43.33% ( 1.86) |
| Both teams to score 56.13% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.78% ( 0.17) | 47.22% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.55% ( 0.16) | 69.45% ( -0.16) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( -0.99) | 28.24% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.05% ( -1.28) | 63.94% ( 1.28) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.21% ( 0.96) | 21.79% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.01% ( 1.44) | 54.99% ( -1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.57% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.33% |
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