SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 10 | -11 | 6 |
| 13 | Hebei | 10 | -17 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.6%) and 3-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Guangzhou |
69.12% ( 0.16) | 19.55% ( -0.05) | 11.33% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 42.58% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( -0.04) | 49.35% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.61% ( -0.04) | 71.39% ( 0.04) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.82% ( 0.04) | 13.18% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.11% ( 0.07) | 39.89% ( -0.07) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.05% ( -0.23) | 50.95% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.69% ( -0.15) | 85.3% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Guangzhou |
| 2-0 @ 13.78% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 69.1% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.52% Total : 19.55% | 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 11.33% |
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