Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 83.64%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 4.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.64%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.41%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.
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