SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
28.55% ( -0.19) | 26.73% ( 0.13) | 44.72% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.4% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.78% ( -0.6) | 55.22% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.55% ( -0.5) | 76.45% ( 0.5) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.5% ( -0.46) | 34.5% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.79% ( -0.5) | 71.21% ( 0.49) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% ( -0.24) | 24.58% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.93% ( -0.34) | 59.07% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.21% Total : 28.55% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.71% |
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