SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 10 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
31.22% ( 0) | 29.36% ( 0.04) | 39.42% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.28% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.53% ( -0.12) | 63.47% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.19% ( -0.09) | 82.81% ( 0.09) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.09% ( -0.07) | 36.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.3% ( -0.07) | 73.7% ( 0.07) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( -0.09) | 31.39% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.23% ( -0.1) | 67.77% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 31.21% | 1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.36% | 0-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0)1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 39.42% |
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