Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 56.15%. A win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 22.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Guangzhou City win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
