Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Guangzhou City win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
