Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou City win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
