SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
39.98% ( -1.4) | 29.06% ( -0.38) | 30.96% ( 1.78) |
| Both teams to score 44.01% ( 1.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.45% ( 1.7) | 62.55% ( -1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.86% ( 1.22) | 82.14% ( -1.22) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( 0.04) | 30.6% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% ( 0.05) | 66.83% ( -0.05) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( 2.33) | 36.59% ( -2.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.62% ( 2.27) | 73.38% ( -2.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.85) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.49)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.35% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.73)2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.05% | 0-1 @ 11.25% 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.27)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.16)Other @ 1.88% Total : 30.96% |
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