SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Shenzhen | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Wuhan | 9 | -7 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 68.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 13.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shenzhen |
68.24% ( 0.08) | 18.44% ( -0.03) | 13.32% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.42% ( 0.02) | 39.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.07% ( 0.02) | 61.93% ( -0.03) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.39% ( 0.02) | 10.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.61% ( 0.06) | 34.39% ( -0.06) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.54% ( -0.06) | 41.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.04% ( -0.05) | 77.95% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 4.33% Total : 68.23% | 1-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.44% | 0-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.32% |
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