SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 2 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
31.96% ( -0.04) | 26.65% ( 0.23) | 41.39% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.41% ( -0.92) | 53.59% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.9% ( -0.78) | 75.1% ( 0.78) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( -0.5) | 31.17% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.5% ( -0.58) | 67.5% ( 0.58) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( -0.51) | 25.54% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.6% ( -0.7) | 60.4% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.96% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.38% |
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