SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Dalian Pro | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 18.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
18.68% ( 0.06) | 24.44% ( 0.05) | 56.88% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.41% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.96% ( -0.09) | 55.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.7% ( -0.07) | 76.3% ( 0.07) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.23% ( 0.02) | 43.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.07% ( 0.02) | 79.93% ( -0.02) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% ( -0.08) | 19.24% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.05% ( -0.13) | 50.95% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.68% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 13.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.43% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 56.87% |
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