SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 82.72%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 5.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.66%) and 1-0 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
82.72% ( 0) | 12.02% ( -0) | 5.26% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 39.93% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.71% ( 0.01) | 36.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.59% ( 0.01) | 58.41% ( -0.01) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.45% ( 0) | 6.55% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.59% ( 0.01) | 24.41% ( -0.01) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.73% ( 0) | 57.27% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.81% ( 0) | 89.19% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-0 @ 13.93% 3-0 @ 12.66% 1-0 @ 10.22% 4-0 @ 8.63% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.81% ( 0)5-0 @ 4.7% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.62% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.14% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.34% 6-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 82.72% | 1-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.4% Total : 12.02% | 0-1 @ 2.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 1.58% Total : 5.26% |
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