SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Hebei | 6 | -15 | 0 |
| 18 | Guangzhou City | 7 | -16 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Dalian Pro | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Wuhan | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 7 | -5 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.01%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hebei | Draw | Wuhan |
17.34% ( 0.41) | 24.14% ( 0.74) | 58.52% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 43.96% ( -1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.27% ( -2.12) | 55.73% ( 2.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( -1.76) | 76.87% ( 1.77) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.19% ( -0.74) | 45.81% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.43% ( -0.58) | 81.57% ( 0.59) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% ( -1.21) | 18.88% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.64% ( -2.06) | 50.36% ( 2.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hebei | Draw | Wuhan |
| 1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.46% Total : 17.34% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.69)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 14.41% ( 0.61) 0-2 @ 12.01% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 6.68% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.16)0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.89% Total : 58.51% |
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