Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5

Jun 20, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Jinzhou Stadium

Sh. Shenhua
2 - 0
Wuhan

Jianrong (45+1'), N'Doumbou (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Peng (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Shanghai Shenhua and Wuhan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 Wuhan

Both of these teams have started their individual seasons in impressive fashion, and they will no doubt be keen to continue that as they aim to push towards the top of the table. Shanghai Shenhua having the home advantage could end up being key, but with both teams being strong defensively it will likely be a low-scoring game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Wuhan win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.

Result
Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Wuhan
46.64% ( 0.37)	27.64% ( -0.07)	25.72% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 44.96% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.05% (

0.06)

59.95% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.8% (

0.04)

80.2% (

-0.05)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.24% (

0.21)

25.75% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.31% (

0.28)

60.69% (

-0.29)

Wuhan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.56% (

-0.24)

39.44% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.87% (

-0.22)

76.13% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua 46.63%

Wuhan 25.72%

Draw 27.63%

Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Wuhan
1-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 46.63%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 25.72%