The hosts may not have scored a single goal yet this season, but all of that could change this weekend as they continue to push themselves to win their first match. Three of Guangzhou's defeats have been close to this point, and because of that, this could now be the time that their fortunes begin to transform. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hebei win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hebei win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guangzhou in this match.

Result
Guangzhou	Draw	Hebei
32.47% ( 0.81)	28.04% ( 0.35)	39.48% ( -1.16)

Both teams to score 47.24% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.25% (

-1.09)

58.74% (

1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.73% (

-0.86)

79.27% (

0.86)

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.54% (

33.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.91% (

70.09% (

-0)

Hebei Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.99% (

-1.18)

29.01% (

1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.09% (

-1.48)

64.91% (

1.49)

Score Analysis

Guangzhou 32.47%

Hebei 39.48%

Draw 28.04%

Guangzhou	Draw	Hebei
1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.47%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.65% Total : 39.48%