SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Hebei | 4 | -9 | 0 |
| 17 | Guangzhou City | 4 | -9 | 0 |
| 18 | Guangzhou | 4 | -9 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Hebei | 4 | -9 | 0 |
| 17 | Guangzhou City | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hebei win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hebei win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guangzhou in this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou | Draw | Hebei |
32.47% ( 0.81) | 28.04% ( 0.35) | 39.48% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.24% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.25% ( -1.09) | 58.74% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.73% ( -0.86) | 79.27% ( 0.86) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% ( 0) | 33.46% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.91% ( 0) | 70.09% ( -0) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( -1.18) | 29.01% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.09% ( -1.48) | 64.91% ( 1.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou | Draw | Hebei |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.47% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.65% Total : 39.48% |
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