Chinese Super League | Gameweek 4

Jun 16, 2022 at 8.30am UK

Aswan Stadium

Hebei
1 - 3
Sh. Shenhua

Zhang (90+2')
Haifeng (45')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yunding (50'), Zhu (53' pen.), Xinli (68' pen.)
Wang (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Chinese Super League clash between Hebei and Shanghai Shenhua, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hebei 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua

The hosts have not won a match since August 2021, and with Shanghai Shenua currently enjoying a rich vein of form, we think that Hebei's wait for a victory will continue past Thursday's encounter as we expect the visitors to clinch all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 75.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 7.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.19%) and 0-3 (11.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Shenhua.

Result
Hebei	Draw	Shanghai Shenhua
7.79% ( 0.51)	16.26% ( 0.09)	75.95% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 39.2% (

2.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.13% (

1.41)

45.88% (

-1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.82% (

1.32)

68.19% (

-1.32)

Hebei Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.71% (

2.22)

56.29% (

-2.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.36% (

1.23)

88.64% (

-1.23)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.68% (

0.22)

10.33% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.23% (

0.49)

33.77% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Hebei 7.79%

Shanghai Shenhua 75.93%

Draw 16.26%

Hebei	Draw	Shanghai Shenhua
1-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.31% Total : 7.79%	1-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.39% Total : 16.26%	0-2 @ 14.98% ( -0.62) 0-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.68) 0-3 @ 11.33% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 6.52% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 6.44% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 3.7% ( 0.17) 0-5 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.19) 1-5 @ 1.68% ( 0.09) 0-6 @ 1.11% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.53% Total : 75.93%