SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Hebei | 5 | -10 | 0 |
| 18 | Guangzhou City | 6 | -13 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 72.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 9.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.39%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Hebei |
72.05% ( -1.63) | 18.17% ( 0.79) | 9.79% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 41.48% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.83) | 47.73% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.77) | 69.93% ( 0.77) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.13% ( -0.67) | 11.87% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.82% ( -1.46) | 37.18% ( 1.46) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.07% ( 1.28) | 52.93% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.4% ( 0.8) | 86.6% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Hebei |
| 2-0 @ 14.26% ( -0.28) 1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.48)2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.41)4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 72.04% | 1-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.47% Total : 18.17% | 0-1 @ 4% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.81% Total : 9.79% |
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