Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
