SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
60.2% ( -0.28) | 22.84% ( 0.09) | 16.95% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.85% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.55% ( -0.04) | 51.45% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% ( -0.03) | 73.26% ( 0.03) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( -0.11) | 16.71% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.39% ( -0.2) | 46.61% ( 0.2) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.25% ( 0.23) | 43.75% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.08% ( 0.19) | 79.92% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.07% 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 60.2% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 16.95% |
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