SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
35.76% ( 0.38) | 27.63% ( -0.1) | 36.61% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 48.94% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.16% ( 0.4) | 56.84% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.23% ( 0.32) | 77.77% ( -0.32) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% ( 0.44) | 30.31% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.51% ( 0.53) | 66.49% ( -0.52) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( 0.02) | 29.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% ( 0.03) | 65.85% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.3% Total : 35.75% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.61% |
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