SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shandong Taishan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shandong Taishan.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
17.78% ( 0.08) | 23.13% ( 0.04) | 59.09% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% ( -0.05) | 51.35% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( -0.04) | 73.17% ( 0.04) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.33% ( 0.07) | 42.67% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.99% ( 0.06) | 79.01% ( -0.06) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.93% ( -0.06) | 17.07% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.76% ( -0.11) | 47.24% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 17.78% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 12.87% 0-2 @ 11.38% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.71% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 59.08% |
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