SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
46.23% ( -0.24) | 26.31% ( 0.15) | 27.45% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.92% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.8% ( -0.53) | 54.2% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.39% ( -0.45) | 75.6% ( 0.45) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( -0.34) | 23.4% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.6% ( -0.49) | 57.39% ( 0.5) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.18% ( -0.21) | 34.82% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.44% ( -0.23) | 71.55% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.77% Total : 46.23% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 27.45% |
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