Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
