SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
36.72% ( -0.06) | 27.13% ( 0.05) | 36.14% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.51% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.12% ( -0.2) | 54.88% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.83% ( -0.17) | 76.17% ( 0.17) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( -0.14) | 28.75% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% ( -0.17) | 64.59% ( 0.17) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( -0.09) | 29.1% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% ( -0.11) | 65.03% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.72% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.14% |
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