SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
44.92% ( -0.09) | 23.85% ( -0.01) | 31.23% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.33% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.35% ( 0.11) | 41.65% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.95% ( 0.11) | 64.05% ( -0.11) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% ( 0.01) | 18.79% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.8% ( 0.01) | 50.2% ( -0.01) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( 0.12) | 25.71% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.36% ( 0.16) | 60.64% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 44.92% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.23% |
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