SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Jonoon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
39.04% ( -0.31) | 25.24% ( -0.14) | 35.72% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.14% ( 0.7) | 46.86% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( 0.65) | 69.11% ( -0.65) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( 0.15) | 23.73% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% ( 0.22) | 57.86% ( -0.23) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( 0.59) | 25.53% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.61% ( 0.79) | 60.39% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.04% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.72% |
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