SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
30.83% ( -0.1) | 24.59% ( -0.04) | 44.58% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.52% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.75% ( 0.11) | 45.25% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.41% ( 0.11) | 67.59% ( -0.11) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( -0.01) | 27.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% ( -0.02) | 63.32% ( 0.02) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( 0.11) | 20.39% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.18% ( 0.17) | 52.82% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.83% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 44.58% |
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