SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantong Zhiyun in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
41.25% ( -0.17) | 25.74% ( 0.06) | 33% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.44% ( -0.25) | 49.56% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.41% ( -0.23) | 71.59% ( 0.22) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% ( -0.2) | 23.8% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.03% ( -0.28) | 57.97% ( 0.28) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( -0.06) | 28.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.77% ( -0.07) | 64.23% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.25% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.01% |
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