Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.05) 
