Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.12) 
