Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
Result | ||
Beijing Guoan | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
46.97% ( -0.08) | 24.82% ( 0.04) | 28.21% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.13% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.35% ( -0.13) | 47.65% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% ( -0.12) | 69.85% ( 0.12) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.66% ( -0.09) | 20.34% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.27% ( -0.14) | 52.73% ( 0.13) |
Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.21% ( -0.04) | 30.79% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.94% ( -0.05) | 67.06% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Beijing Guoan | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 46.98% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.21% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: