Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
-0.46) 
0.24) 
