SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
47.69% ( -0.46) | 25.95% ( 0.06) | 26.36% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 50.18% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.53% ( 0.02) | 53.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.01% ( 0.02) | 74.99% ( -0.02) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% ( -0.2) | 22.43% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.05% ( -0.3) | 55.95% ( 0.3) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.68% ( 0.35) | 35.32% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.92% ( 0.36) | 72.08% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.69% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.04% Total : 26.36% |
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