SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
58.02% ( -0.27) | 22.51% ( 0.11) | 19.47% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.64% ( -0.24) | 46.36% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( -0.22) | 68.65% ( 0.22) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( -0.17) | 15.69% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.25% ( -0.32) | 44.74% ( 0.32) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.17% ( 0.04) | 37.82% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% ( 0.04) | 74.6% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 58.01% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.5% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.56% Total : 19.47% |
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