SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
40.79% ( -0.49) | 27.24% ( 0.26) | 31.97% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 49.46% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.12% ( -0.96) | 55.88% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.01% ( -0.79) | 76.99% ( 0.78) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( -0.71) | 26.91% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.76% ( -0.94) | 62.23% ( 0.93) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( -0.34) | 32.33% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.16% ( -0.38) | 68.83% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.78% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.97% |
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