SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
19.53% ( -0.08) | 22.86% ( -0.01) | 57.62% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.41% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.25% ( -0.06) | 47.76% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.06% ( -0.06) | 69.95% ( 0.06) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.43% ( -0.13) | 38.57% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.69% ( -0.12) | 75.32% ( 0.12) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( 0.01) | 16.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.12% ( 0.02) | 45.89% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 5.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 19.53% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 22.85% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.34% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 57.6% |
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