SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
28.53% ( -0.44) | 25.72% ( -0.35) | 45.75% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.75% ( 1.18) | 51.25% ( -1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( 1.03) | 73.08% ( -1.02) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( 0.29) | 32.42% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.06% ( 0.32) | 68.94% ( -0.32) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( 0.88) | 22.37% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.14% ( 1.29) | 55.87% ( -1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.53% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.35)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.2% Total : 45.75% |
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