SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
16.49% ( -0.02) | 21.97% ( 0.05) | 61.55% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.53% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.31% ( -0.23) | 48.69% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% ( -0.21) | 70.8% ( 0.2) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.3% ( -0.16) | 42.7% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.96% ( -0.13) | 79.03% ( 0.13) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% ( -0.08) | 15.31% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.95% ( -0.16) | 44.05% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.37% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 16.49% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.97% | 0-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 11.51% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.2% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 61.53% |
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