SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
45.61% ( 0.11) | 26.05% ( -0.05) | 28.34% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.31% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.32% ( 0.17) | 52.68% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.68% ( 0.14) | 74.32% ( -0.14) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( 0.13) | 23.04% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.13% ( 0.18) | 56.87% ( -0.18) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% ( 0.04) | 33.32% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.06% ( 0.04) | 69.94% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.61% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.34% |
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